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bikes-glm Generalized Linear Models for Bikes Prediction Academic Project Predicting the number of bikes rented in a bike-sharing system using Generalized Linear Models and various statistical techniques. 2025-01-24 1 Completed
R
Statistics
GLM
Mathematics
i-ph-bicycle-duotone

Generalized Linear Models for Bikes Prediction

Overview

This project was completed as part of the Generalized Linear Models course at Paris-Dauphine PSL University. The objective was to develop and compare statistical models to predict the number of bicycle rentals in a bike-sharing system based on various environmental and temporal characteristics.

📊 Project Objectives

  • Determine the best predictive model for bicycle rental counts
  • Analyze the impact of various features (temperature, humidity, wind speed, seasonality, etc.)
  • Apply and evaluate different generalized linear modeling techniques
  • Validate model assumptions and performance metrics

🔍 Methodology

The study employs rigorous statistical approaches including:

  • Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) - Understanding feature distributions and relationships
  • Model Comparison - Testing multiple GLM families (Poisson, Negative Binomial, Gaussian)
  • Feature Selection - Identifying the most influential variables
  • Model Diagnostics - Validating assumptions and checking residuals
  • Cross-validation - Ensuring robust performance estimates

📁 Key Findings

The analysis identified critical factors influencing bike-sharing demand:

  • Seasonal patterns and weather conditions
  • Temperature and humidity effects
  • Holiday and working day distinctions
  • Time-based trends and cyclical patterns

📚 Resources

📄 Detailed Report